Every daily pick is recorded the day we make it and graded one week and one month later against the S&P 500 — wins and losses alike. This page is generated from that log; nothing here is a backtest.
1 month later
89%
picks that were up after 1 month
9 graded picks
89%
beat the S&P 500 over the same window
same dates, SPY as the benchmark
+10.4%
average edge vs the S&P 500
picks +10.7% · SPY +0.3%
1 week later
78%
picks that were up after 1 week
9 graded picks
67%
beat the S&P 500 over the same window
same dates, SPY as the benchmark
+0.9%
average edge vs the S&P 500
picks +1.6% · SPY +0.8%
50 picks recorded since launch · updated 2026-10-05
The most recent graded picks
Pick date
Ticker
Price then
1 week
SPY 1w
1 month
SPY 1m
2026-07-04
AMZN
$242.67
+1.1%
+1.4%
+11.9%
+0.3%
2026-07-04
MSFT
$390.49
-1.4%
+1.4%
+19.0%
+0.3%
2026-07-04
CSCO
$112.69
+7.7%
+1.4%
+2.9%
+0.3%
2026-07-03
AMZN
$242.67
+1.8%
+0.9%
+11.9%
+0.3%
2026-07-03
MSFT
$390.49
-1.6%
+0.9%
+19.0%
+0.3%
2026-07-03
CSCO
$112.69
+5.0%
+0.9%
+2.9%
+0.3%
2026-07-02
GOOGL
$361.21
+0.2%
-0.1%
-1.4%
+0.2%
2026-07-02
AMZN
$241.70
+0.8%
-0.1%
+12.4%
+0.2%
2026-07-02
GM
$75.52
+0.9%
-0.1%
+17.7%
+0.2%
Returns are price-only from the close on the pick date. Losses are listed exactly like wins. Members see every pick, every day, on the Top Picks page.
How the grading works
Each morning's picks are snapshotted with their price at the close of the pick date.
One week and one month later the close is read again; the same is done for SPY over the identical window.
A pick "wins" if it is up; it "beats the S&P 500" if its return is higher than SPY's. Averages are simple means, every graded pick counted once.
Picks our analyst review vetoed never reached members and are not in these numbers — the published list is what is graded.